Saturday, September 21, 2024

Stock Market Highlights September 10, 2024: Sensex gains 361 pts, Nifty settles above 25,000

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Jefferies on Axis Bank

Buy Call, Target Rs 1,500

Credit Cost To Normalise; Prefer NIMs Over Growth

Co Reassured That Surge In Credit Costs In Q1 Can Normalise

Credit Cost To Normalise Even As Conservative Provisioning Policy On Unsecured Loans Upfronts

Deposit Growth Is Slower But Bank Is Managing Funding-Cost Better That Helps To Holdon To NIMs

Steps On Premiumisation & Corporate Salary Clients Will Steadily Improve Deposit Franchise

Valuations Are At Discount To Peers; It Stays Among Top Picks

CLSA on ICICI Bank

Outperform Call, Target Rs 1,500

Bank Well Placed On Deposits And Does Not Expect The Cost Of Deposits To Rise Materially

NIM Is Likely To Be Stable & Rate Cut Would Only Result In A Temporary NIM Compression

Bank Is Not Guiding Any Cost-To-Income Ratio Level But It Is Aiming To Deliver Profitable Growth

Jefferies on GMR Airports

Buy Call, Target Rs 106

See The Delhi International Airport Deal As Attractively Priced

Airports Authority Of India Would Continue To Holds 26% Equity Stake Of DIAL

We Haven’t Reviewed SOTP Valuations For Co As Of Now, Given The Deal Is Amid Closure

Over 50% Of The Valuation For GMR Airports In Our SOTP Comes From DIAL

Kotak Inst Eqt on GMR Airports

Sell, TP raised to Rs 74 to incorporate last 2 big surprises, potentially—GAL winning Delhi Duty-free biz & stake consolidation in DIAL

However, need to look beyond naïve approach of considering GMR Airports as monopolistic play on non-aero growth

MOSL on IT

Top Picks Are 

HCLTech (Target Rs 2,200)

LTIMindtree (Target Rs 7,400)

Persistent (Target Rs 6,300)

Upgrade Coforge To Buy, Target Rs 8,100

IT Services Sector Could Be On Cusp Of Recovery

Estimate HCLTech To Lead Revenue Growth Among Large Caps Over Next Three Years

Positive Outlook On LTIMindtree Is Based On Its Best-in-class Offerings In Data & ERP Modernisation

Persistent Sys, With Its Strong Product Engineering Background, Remains Fastest-Growing IT Svcs Co

Persistent Sys Well-Positioned To Benefit From Long-Term GenAI Investments

Believe Coforge Can Leverage Synergies From Cigniti

Healthy Growth In Coforge’s Executable Orderbook Bodes Well For Its Core Business

MS on Dixon Tech

Equal-Weight Call, Target Rs 8,696

HP India Is The Third Large Customer That Co Has Onboarded In The IT Hardware Segment

HP Enjoys 28-30% Market Share In India’s Desktop And Notebook Segment

Lenovo And Acer Have Around 15% Each Market Share

MS on Suzlon Energy

Overweight Call, Target Rs 73.4

NTPC Project Scope Includes Supply Of Turbines, Erection & Commissioning And O&M

The Large Contract Offers Improved Earnings Visibility For FY26-27

HSBC on Life Insurance

Industry’s Individual APE Growth Moderated To 10% Vs 18-19% YoY Run-rate In Previous 3 Months

Growth Slowdown Was Sharper For Large Insurers Vs Small Insurers

Growth In Number Of Policies Sold Also Moderated

ICICI Pru’s Individual APE Growth (29%) Remained Faster Than Industry’s

HDFCLIFE Continued Its Healthy Growth In NoPs

Nomura on Life Insurance

Growth Was Soft In August

Private Players Continued To Outpace The Overall Industry

Growth Of The Public Insurance Industry Was Muted

Private Players’ Market Share Increased To Nearly 70%

YTD FY25 Growth Came In At 17%/23% YoY For The Overall Industry/Private Players

GS on Marico

Buy, TP Rs 715

NDR takeaways: Growth agenda on track

Management reiterated their expectation of growing India biz in double digits starting FY25

CO has scaled up its foods biz 4x over FY20-24 & targets to grow 2x in next 3 yrs

Int biz is steady



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