Monday, December 16, 2024

Stocks to buy for long term: Sneha Poddar of Motilal Oswal recommends THESE 5 shares; do you own any?

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Stocks to buy for the long term: The Indian stock market has seen impressive gains this year despite headwinds such as elevated rates, geopolitical tensions, and concerns over a global economic slowdown. As of September 19, the Sensex has gained 15 per cent this year, while the Nifty 50 has gained 17 per cent.

Both indices are at record highs, and the outlook remains bright due to the strong inflow of retail money and the prospects of robust economic growth. Moreover, the start of rate reduction in the US is also expected to trigger fresh foreign capital inflow, which will further boost the market.

Also Read | Fed rate cut: Impact on Indian stock market; where to invest in low rate regime?

Amid the market’s wave of optimism, experts urge caution against getting swept up in the euphoria. Instead, they recommend anchoring a portfolio in quality stocks with strong fundamentals, paving the way for long-term gains.

Sneha Poddar, the VP-Research, Wealth Management at Motilal Oswal Financial Services, recommends the following five stocks to buy for the long term. Take a look:

Kaynes Technology is a prominent end-to-end and IoT-enabled integrated electronics manufacturer with strong order book growth and a higher share of Box Build (nearly 42 per cent in FY24) and PCBA (nearly 55 per cent).

Kaynes Technology secured three major long-term orders in aerospace and outer space, industrial and EVs, and medical sectors, ensuring growth for FY25.

It also received a significant two-year industrial order to be executed in FY26/FY27. Moreover, a leading medical equipment provider qualified Kaynes Technology to supply in the US and EU, which is expected to bring substantial revenue for the company.

Also Read | Stocks to buy for long term: Nirmal Bang expects 9-61% upside in these 5 shares

Poddar estimates an 18 per cent USD revenue CAGR for the company over FY24-27, which, combined with margin expansion, could result in a nearly 21 per cent+ EPS CAGR.

“This positions Persistent Systems in a league of its own as a diversified product engineering and IT services player, justifying a premium valuation multiple. That said, owing to its superior earnings growth trajectory, on a PEG basis, we believe the valuation still has room for upside,” said Poddar.

Also Read | ‘SMIDs to gain from rate cut cycle, Nifty 50 may deliver low-teen returns’

HDFC Life remains focused on maintaining a balanced product mix, emphasising product innovation and superior customer service.

Growth in lower-tier cities will focus on expanding HDFC Bank’s branch network and deepening HDFC LIFE’s branch network.

Persistency improved across cohorts, which will keep the renewal premium growth healthy.

The company aims to double its APE/VNB over the next four years. Surrender charges will likely bring in new commission constructs, so distributor adaptability will be critical,” said Poddar.

“We now estimate HDFC Life to deliver a nearly 18 per cent VNB CAGR over FY24-26 and steady margin in the 25-26 per cent range,” Poddar said.

Also Read | Stocks to buy for long term: Pankaj Pandey of ICICI Sec suggests these 5 shares

Cholamandalam Investment is equipped to deliver strong AUM growth with benign credit costs (versus peers), leading to a strong RoE of nearly 21-22 per cent across economic cycles.

“The management expects vehicle finance (VF) yields to improve, with marginal yields around nearly 40bp higher than book yields. This will be reflected in book yields over the next three to four quarters,” Poddar said.

“Borrowings from PSBs are typically based on the MCLR, which could see a minor increase going ahead. However, the management anticipates the overall CoB stabilising,” said Poddar.

KEI Industries has consistently delivered strong performance, led by a robust demand environment and a diversified customer base with a significant presence across domestic and international markets.

Its increasing focus on the retail segment and capacity expansion would continue to drive strong growth for the company.

“Considering the strong demand outlook and improved margins in the cables and wires segment, we estimate a CAGR of 24 per cent and 22 per cent in EBITDA and EPS, respectively, over FY24-27E,” said Poddar.

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Disclaimer: The views and recommendations above are those of individual analysts, experts, and brokerage firms, not Mint. We advise investors to consult certified experts before making any investment decisions.

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